Recent Publications

Commentary: The Iran deal: For U.S., it's just one more broken promise

Albany Times-Union, June 11, 2018

Abstract: President Trump's decision to "tear up" the Iran Deal is just on more example of the United States backing out of or failing to uphold international agreements. As the author states, "This trend is making the world less safe, and it has significantly reduced the United States' "moral authority" and trust among other nations."

Trump’s First Meeting With Kim May Be Little More Than a Photo Op

Fortune, June 11, 2018

Abstract: With the summit only hours away, the author offers some thoughts on what interested actors want out of the meeting. The author asks, "Will this be a showdown like the O.K. Corral? Or will it be parlayed, as some have suggested, into President Trump’s “Nixon-to-China” moment?"

How Diplomacy With North Korea Could Be Doomed From the Start

Fortune, May 8, 2018

Abstract: The planned summit between the US and North Korea has the potential to reduce tensions. However, both sides must manage their expectations. As the author states, "North Korea believes it has a seat at the big kids nuclear table. The U.S. and the others must realize that an attempt at negotiations where already tense participants have different perceptions and expectations would be a failed effort at best."

North Korea's Nuclear Program Distracts Us From Kim jong un's bigger threats

Newsweek, January 10, 2018

Abstract: North Korea's nuclear and missile tests are, in the words of the author, "the equivalent of a magician distracting onlookers." The world needs to remember to pay attention to North Korea's more subtle threats: cyber attacks, and chemical and biological weapons production.

The Coming Genocide? Burundi's Past, Present, and Potentially Deadly Future

Studies in Conflict & Terrorism, June 2017

Abstract: The Great Lakes region of Africa is the most conflict-prone region of the world and one current concern is political violence in Burundi. This research investigates whether Burundi is on the precipice of a genocide. Burundi’s weak democratic norms, genocidal history, and the impact of contagion and diffusion of violence in the region, provide a number of the conditions that could contribute to a genocide. This research investigates the past and present conflict variables of the Great Lakes region with a focus on Burundi and assesses the potential that the ongoing political violence in Burundi will lead to genocide.

North Korea’s Nuclear Tantrum

Time Magazine, October 2016

Abstract: Assessing the actual threat posed by North Korea's nuclear weapons program, the author suggests that North Korea's actions are more comparable to a child throwing a tantrum that is used as a tool of extortion.

Testing for contagion/diffusion of terrorism in state dyads

Studies in Conflict & Terrorism, March 2013

Abstract: This article tests the application of contagion/diffusion theories of political violence to terrorist activity. In order to apply theories of contagion/diffusion to terrorism, Granger causality analysis of terrorist activity in three state dyads—Lebanon–Israel, Peru–Colombia, India–Pakistan—is conducted. Within each dyad, terrorist activities in general and specific terrorist tactics in particular are analyzed. The test results show that there are correlations of terrorist events that indicate evidence of contagion and/or diffusion in all three dyads tested, although the patterns of contagion/diffusion are different for each dyad.

Boston Herald Articles

Articles Written by Dr. Cliff

November 2016

In the latest Franklin Pierce University/Boston Herald poll, 47 percent of those surveyed have “very unfavorable” views of Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump and almost 40 percent believe the election is rigged and biased.

May 2016

The new Franklin Pierce University/Boston Herald poll shows that in New Hampshire, the presidential race between Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton and the U.S. Senate race between Maggie Hassan and Kelly Ayotte are statistical ties — and ties go to the super PACs.

February 2016

For those of you who may be suffering from “poll fatigue” or “candidate overload,” I want to put these polls and the importance of the outcomes of the Iowa caucuses and New Hampshire primary in perspective.

February 2016

As New Hampshire primary voting gets underway, one has to wonder what is going through the mind of Hillary Clinton.

Clinton was the presumptive nominee for the Democrats as soon as she announced her candidacy last April. At that time, her biggest concern was whether or not Vice President Joe Biden or, worse, Massachusetts U.S. Sen. Elizabeth Warren would also run. Bernie Sanders, the quirky U.S. senator from Vermont, was not on Clinton’s radar.

December 2015

The problem with terrorism as a campaign issue is that a functional counterterrorism strategy cannot be summed up in a 60-second sound bite, and the electorate wants direct action, when the best approaches are subtle and multi-faceted.

Articles Quoting Dr. Cliff's Expertise